Geopolitics in South Asia is taking a 180-degree turn.
The Bay is churning.
The Hasina fall hastened the process.
But the writing on the wall was clear ever since the “Great Powers” were eyeing the waters.
India was unfortunately looking elsewhere, towards Ukraine and even Africa!
History is testimony to the histrionics and conspiracies of 1947 and 1971.
They were missed in 1975 when Sheikh Hasina‘s family was assassinated.
It is wished that a not so weighty book titled the “Blood Telegram” was read in good time.
In any event, the fall out of the “Takeover” are clearly the following:
(1) Pax Americana with its Armada is back in the region.
(2) A “great tussle” will ensue between the US and China for the erstwhile East Pakistan. This will continue for a long time.
(3) Stability will eventually return to Bangladesh as the Awami Leaguers will be forced to compromise with the army and the students (for they call the shots now!). But a few of the League’s leaders will have to bear the immediate brunch. Perhaps they will enter India enroute to London.
(4) A bout of army rule in Dhaka in a conglomerative garb is on the cards.
(5) Neither the US nor the Pakistani Deep States would let go off the reigns this time around.
(6) The ISI is clearly playing a double game: China and the US. Even as it seeks a large anti-India pie as a leftover.
(7) Now that there is no immediate probable outcome to the contest.
(8) If forceful intervention by India is not undertaken immediately which includes reinstatement of Sheikh Hasina back in Dhaka and military purging of the anti-India forces, the plot would be lost for a decade.
(9) New Delhi needs to act immediately to correct its intelligence and forward engineering faux pas.
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Prevention should be the watchword in the corridors of power.
The Liberation of Bangladesh in 1971 by Sam Bahadur must not be frittered away to shenanigans of either radicalism, neo-socialism or colonialism.
