New Delhi: The Centre for North East India Security Studies (CNEISS), a think tank, has warned that a possible alliance between insurgent groups operating in India, Bangladesh, and Myanmar could attempt to disrupt the forthcoming Assam Assembly elections.
In a press statement on Thursday, the CNEISS claimed that the United Liberation Front of Assam-Independent (ULFA-I), Bangladeshi tribal armed group Parbattya Chattagram Jana Samhati Samiti (PCJSS) headed by Jyotirindra Bodhipriyo Larma in the Chittagong Hill Tracts (CHT), the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA) and Rohingya Solidarity Organisation (RSO) may coordinate activities aimed at destablishing the region during the election period.
According to Swapan Debbarma, a representative of the CNEISS, sources indicate that officials from Directorate General of the Forces Intelligence (DGFI) of Bangladesh and Pakistan’s ISI reportedly facilitated a two-day meeting between representatives of these groups in December 2025 at Cox’s Bazaar.
He said, “On 9-11 December 2025, the Bangladesh’s DGFI and Pakistan’s ISI reportedly organized two days marathon meeting among the ARSA, RSO, ULFA(I) and the Parbattya Chattagram Jana Samahati Samiti (Santu) at Cox’s Bazaar. Currently, arms are being supplied through the Rohingya terror groups and the PCJSS representative at Cox’s Bazaar.”
“Mr Bidhayak Chakma reportedly procured 50 sophisticated arms on 26 February 2026 for onward transfer and create disturbance in the North East. The PCJSS (Santu) has further reportedly been supplying deadly rocket fuels procured from western agencies in Chittagong to the insurgents in the North East. Rocket fuels can be used to blow up the bridges,” he further said.
The Tripura Police and the Border Security Force arrested a few PCJSS (Santu) armed cadres including Samaj Priyo Chakma with 9 mm pistol at Agartala on January 21, 2025, 13 cadres at Agartala on June 4, 2025, and Apollo Chakma on February 23, 2026.
The think tank also referred to a ruling by the Gauhati High Court in September 2024 in a case involving the National Investigation Agency versus Rohmingliana, which related to the seizure of a large cache of weapons from PCJSS cadres in Mizoram in 2013. According to CNEISS, the court described PCJSS as a terrorist organisation in its judgment.
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Debbarma further argued that security measures have been insufficient to counter emerging threats.
“The actions of the Indian security agencies have been inadequate to address security threats arising out of the unholy terror nexus as the PCJSS (Santu) has infiltrated Indian Chakmas by providing funds especially given the denial of citizenship to the Chakmas in Arunachal Pradesh and discrimination against the Chakmas in Mizoram. This had led to protest in Tripura in July and August 2025 against the PCJSS (Santu) after the Assam Rifles seized drugs worth Rs. 10.43 crores from Sapna Chakma and Punyasur Chakma who are close associates of Mr Bidhayak Chakma, a leader of the PCJSS (Santu) on 19 June 2025.”
“The threats from the PCJSS (Santu) have increased as PCJSS Supreme commander Santu Larma who has been chairman of the CHT Regional Council for the last 27 years without elections after signing the CHT Accord is not sure whether the current Bangladesh National Party government will keep him in power. Therefore, Mr Larma is willing to do anything and the ULFA-Rohingyas are taking advantage of the availability of Santu Larma to cause disturbance in the North East including during the forthcoming Assam Assembly elections,” he added.
Debbarma also alleged that Gautam Kumar Chakma, a senior PCJSS leader and member of the CHT Regional Council who entered India on a medical visa, has called arms commanders from the Chittagong Hill Tracts to Agartala. He warned that such movements, combined with reduced vigilance during the Holi period, could pose a serious security risk in the Northeast.
